UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Barboza

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,053

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.7 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:42, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Barboza
Significant Strikes48
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:42
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 7:42, how much damage will he do? Barboza Cerrone
Significant Strikes49
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:42
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:42
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Barboza 7.6
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Barboza 6.7
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Barboza 8.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2014UFC on Fox 11
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Barboza
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Barboza vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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