UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Miller

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,097

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jim Miller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 11:15, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Miller
Significant Strikes60
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:15
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 11:15, how much damage will he do? Miller Cerrone
Significant Strikes54
Miller's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Miller 8.4
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Miller 8.6
Great takedowns by Miller
1 takedown Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
1 takedown Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
5 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Miller 7.1
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Miller 8.9
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs Oliveira
Round 3 Oct 18, 2008 vs Baron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Miller 8.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 16, 2014UFC Fight Night 45
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Miller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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