UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Ratcliff

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,718

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 185 cm vs 182 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ed Ratcliff
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ratcliff’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 5:46, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Ratcliff
Significant Strikes33
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Ratcliff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:46
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Ratcliff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ratcliff on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Ratcliff
In 5:46, how much damage will he do? Ratcliff Cerrone
Significant Strikes28
Ratcliff's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:46
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Ratcliff's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:46
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ratcliff is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ratcliff is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ratcliff is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Ratcliff 8.4
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Ratcliff 7.5
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Ratcliff 7.9
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Ratcliff 6.8
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Ratcliff 7.6
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 19, 2009WEC 45
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,8401,787
1,8821,744
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Ratcliff
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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