UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Masvidal

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 12:07, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Masvidal
Significant Strikes64
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 12:07, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Cerrone
Significant Strikes68
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:07
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Masvidal 8.8
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Masvidal 8.7
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Masvidal 7.5
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Masvidal 6.9
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Masvidal 7.6
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Masvidal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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