UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Alexander

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,544

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Kenneth Alexander
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alexander’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 5:38, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Alexander
Significant Strikes32
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Alexander's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Alexander's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Alexander on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kenneth
Alexander
In 5:38, how much damage will he do? Alexander Cerrone
Significant Strikes25
Alexander's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Alexander's good takedown offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:38
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alexander is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alexander is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alexander is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Alexander 8.2
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Alexander 6.8
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Alexander 7.5
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Alexander 7.5
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 5, 2007WEC 30
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Alexander
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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