UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Roberts

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,946

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.3 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.2 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 183 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Ryan Roberts
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Roberts’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:57, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Roberts
Significant Strikes52
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Roberts's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Roberts's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Roberts on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Roberts
In 7:57, how much damage will he do? Roberts Cerrone
Significant Strikes34
Roberts's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Roberts's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Roberts is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Roberts is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Roberts has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Roberts 8.2
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Roberts 7.3
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Roberts 6.3
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Roberts 7.3
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 16, 2007ROF 28
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6691,654
1,7171,606
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Roberts
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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