UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs McCullough

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.4 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Rob McCullough
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McCullough’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? Cerrone McCullough
Significant Strikes51
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate McCullough's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by McCullough's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
McCullough on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rob
McCullough
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? McCullough Cerrone
Significant Strikes46
McCullough's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McCullough's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McCullough is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McCullough is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McCullough is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter McCullough 8.5
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter McCullough 7.6
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter McCullough 7.7
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter McCullough 6.4
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter McCullough 7.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2008WEC 36
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 KO
1,8201,892
1,8801,832
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend McCullough
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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