UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Krause

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,013

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for James Krause
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Krause’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 9:13, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Krause
Significant Strikes56
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Krause on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Krause
In 9:13, how much damage will he do? Krause Cerrone
Significant Strikes47
Krause's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Krause's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Krause is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Krause 8.5
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Krause 8.3
Great takedowns by Krause
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Krause 8.2
Great knockouts by Krause
Round 1 Nov 02, 2012 vs Trindade
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Korzenowski
Round 1 Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Krause 8.2
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Krause 8.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 7, 2009WEC 41
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8461,841
1,8951,791
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Krause
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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