UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Medeiros

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Yancy Medeiros
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Medeiros’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 5:16, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Medeiros
Significant Strikes29
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Medeiros's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Medeiros on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yancy
Medeiros
In 5:16, how much damage will he do? Medeiros Cerrone
Significant Strikes24
Medeiros's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:16
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Medeiros's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Medeiros has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Medeiros is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Medeiros is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Medeiros 8.3
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Medeiros 8.2
Great knockouts by Medeiros
Round 2 Jun 26, 2010 vs Joseph
Round 1 Aug 22, 2009 vs Prados
Round 3 Nov 15, 2008 vs Suganuma

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Medeiros 6.8
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Medeiros 8.0
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 18, 2018UFC Fight Night 126
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Medeiros
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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