UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Jury

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Myles Jury
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jury’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 9:39, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Jury
Significant Strikes46
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:39
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jury on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Myles
Jury
In 9:39, how much damage will he do? Jury Cerrone
Significant Strikes42
Jury's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jury's good takedown offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:39
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jury is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jury is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jury is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Jury 8.2
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Jury 8.8
Great takedowns by Jury
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Ricci
2 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Nijem
3 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Jury 7.9
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Jury 7.6
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Jury 8.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 3, 2015UFC 182
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Jury
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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