UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cerrone vs Magny

2,206

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

1,887

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.1 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 185 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 7:38, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Magny
Significant Strikes43
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense may be a factor against Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 7:38, how much damage will he do? Magny Cerrone
Significant Strikes36
Magny's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Magny's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Magny 8.4
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Magny 8.5
Great takedowns by Magny
4 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Magny 7.4
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Magny 6.9
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Magny 7.1
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Magny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus