UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Morrison vs Mendes

1,803

CageRank

WINNER
Mendes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Mendes
WILL WIN

2,200

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chad Mendes
Much better takedown defense 9.8 vs 7.6 Around 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Anthony Morrison
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 171 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Mendes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morrison’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chad
Mendes
In 7:11, how much damage will he do? Mendes Morrison
Significant Strikes32
Mendes's good striking offense is matched by Morrison's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:11
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Mendes's good takedown offense may be a factor against Morrison's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:11
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mendes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morrison on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mendes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Morrison
In 7:11, how much damage will he do? Morrison Mendes
Significant Strikes22
Morrison's average striking offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 65 Significant Strikes in 7:11
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Morrison's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mendes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morrison is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morrison is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morrison is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mendes 8.9
fighter Morrison 8.3
Great striking by Mendes
35 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
32 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
7 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mendes 9.0
fighter Morrison 8.1
Great takedowns by Mendes
7 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs Lentz
3 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
4 takedowns Feb 05, 2011 vs Omigawa

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Morrison 7.1
Great knockouts by Mendes
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
Round 1 Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mendes 7.2
fighter Morrison 6.8
Great submissions by Mendes
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Morrison
Round 1 Sep 26, 2008 vs Encarnacion

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mendes 8.7
fighter Morrison 7.6
Fast finishes by Mendes
630 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Guida
68 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Elkins
44 seconds Jul 16, 2009 vs Siler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 24, 2010WEC 48
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,7791,853
1,7401,892
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mendes
legend Morrison
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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