UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Yahya vs Maeda

1,937

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Yahya

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Yahya
WILL WIN

1,694

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rani Yahya
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Yoshiro Maeda
Much heavier hands 7.1 vs 5.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Yahya on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maeda’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rani
Yahya
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? Yahya Maeda
Significant Strikes21
Yahya's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Maeda's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Yahya's good takedown offense may be a factor against Maeda's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yahya is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Yahya has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Yahya is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maeda on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Yahya’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoshiro
Maeda
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? Maeda Yahya
Significant Strikes22
Maeda's average striking offense won't be a factor against Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Maeda's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maeda is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maeda is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maeda is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Yahya 7.5
fighter Maeda 8.2
Great striking by Maeda
21 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Beebe
32 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Miller
11 strikes Feb 13, 2008 vs Valencia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Yahya 9.0
fighter Maeda 8.4
Great takedowns by Yahya
5 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Hirota
3 takedowns Jan 22, 2011 vs Thomas Brown
1 takedown Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Yahya 5.9
fighter Maeda 7.1
Great knockouts by Maeda
Round 1 Dec 30, 2010 vs Kanehara
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Valencia
Round 3 Sep 04, 2005 vs Shida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Yahya 8.4
fighter Maeda 7.2
Great submissions by Yahya
Round 1 Aug 04, 2012 vs Grispi
Round 1 Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman
Round 1 Nov 05, 2008 vs Maeda

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Yahya 8.3
fighter Maeda 7.7
Fast finishes by Yahya
128 seconds Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman
67 seconds Apr 05, 2009 vs Wineland
210 seconds Nov 05, 2008 vs Maeda
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2008WEC 36
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,7851,884
1,8491,820
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Yahya
legend Maeda
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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