UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Yahya vs Niinimaki

1,937

CageRank

WINNER
Niinimaki

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Niinimaki
WILL WIN

1,976

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tom Niinimaki
Much longer winning streak 9 fights vs 3 fights 3x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much heavier hands 6.9 vs 5.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Rani Yahya
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Niinimaki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Yahya’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Niinimaki
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Niinimaki Yahya
Significant Strikes38
Niinimaki's average striking offense won't be a factor against Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Niinimaki's good takedown offense is matched by Yahya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Niinimaki is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Niinimaki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Niinimaki has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Yahya on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Niinimaki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rani
Yahya
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Yahya Niinimaki
Significant Strikes37
Yahya's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Niinimaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Yahya's good takedown offense may be a factor against Niinimaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yahya is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Yahya has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Yahya is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Niinimaki 8.3
fighter Yahya 7.5
Great striking by Niinimaki
17 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Yahya

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Niinimaki 8.8
fighter Yahya 9.0
Great takedowns by Yahya
5 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Hirota
3 takedowns Jan 22, 2011 vs Thomas Brown
1 takedown Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Niinimaki 6.9
fighter Yahya 5.9
Great knockouts by Niinimaki
Round 1 Oct 08, 2011 vs Frachey
Round 2 Oct 24, 2004 vs Latoel
Round 1 Nov 01, 2003 vs Honkala

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Niinimaki 8.1
fighter Yahya 8.4
Great submissions by Yahya
Round 1 Aug 04, 2012 vs Grispi
Round 1 Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman
Round 1 Nov 05, 2008 vs Maeda

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Niinimaki 8.1
fighter Yahya 8.3
Fast finishes by Yahya
128 seconds Aug 09, 2009 vs Hosman
67 seconds Apr 05, 2009 vs Wineland
210 seconds Nov 05, 2008 vs Maeda
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 30, 2013TUF 18 Finale
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,9842,004
1,9372,051
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Niinimaki
legend Yahya
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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