UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McDonald vs Faber

2,022

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Michael McDonald
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much younger 26 years vs 38 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 177 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? Faber McDonald
Significant Strikes49
Faber's average striking offense is matched by McDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by McDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
McDonald
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? McDonald Faber
Significant Strikes36
McDonald's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McDonald's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McDonald is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter McDonald 8.6
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter McDonald 7.7
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter McDonald 8.5
Great knockouts by McDonald
Round 1 Apr 21, 2012 vs Torres
Round 2 Jul 09, 2010 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Feb 04, 2010 vs Tapia

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter McDonald 7.6
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter McDonald 8.9
Fast finishes by McDonald
523 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Pickett
198 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Torres
372 seconds Jul 09, 2010 vs Escovedo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 14, 2013UFC on Fox 9
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR1 SUB
2,0602,145
2,0222,183
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend McDonald
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Faber vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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