UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Escovedo vs Faber

1,719

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Cole Escovedo
Much longer reach 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Escovedo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 9:40, how much damage will he do? Faber Escovedo
Significant Strikes56
Faber's average striking offense may be a factor against Escovedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Escovedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Escovedo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cole
Escovedo
In 9:40, how much damage will he do? Escovedo Faber
Significant Strikes24
Escovedo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Escovedo's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Escovedo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Escovedo is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Escovedo is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Escovedo 8.1
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Escovedo 7.8
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Escovedo 7.4
Great knockouts by Escovedo
Round 1 Mar 22, 2010 vs Maeda
Round 2 May 08, 2009 vs McDonald
Round 2 May 19, 2005 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Escovedo 7.6
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Escovedo 8.2
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 17, 2006WEC 19
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 SUB
1,8101,864
1,7681,906
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Escovedo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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