UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Escovedo vs Barao

1,719

CageRank

WINNER
Barao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance Barao
WILL WIN

2,194

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Cole Escovedo
Longer reach 183 cm vs 179 cm Almost the same
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Escovedo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barao Escovedo
Significant Strikes94
Barao's good striking offense may be a factor against Escovedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Barao's average takedown offense is matched by Escovedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barao has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Escovedo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cole
Escovedo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Escovedo Barao
Significant Strikes45
Escovedo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Escovedo's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Escovedo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Escovedo is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Escovedo is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barao 8.9
fighter Escovedo 8.1
Great striking by Barao
36 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
85 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Faber
104 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barao 8.0
fighter Escovedo 7.8
Great takedowns by Barao
4 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
6 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Escovedo
1 takedown Jun 20, 2010 vs Leone

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barao 7.7
fighter Escovedo 7.4
Great knockouts by Barao
Round 2 Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
Round 2 Aug 13, 2009 vs Sardinha
Round 3 Nov 29, 2008 vs Pinheiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barao 8.5
fighter Escovedo 7.6
Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Cariaso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barao 8.6
fighter Escovedo 8.2
Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
1137 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
249 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 28, 2011UFC 130
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 SUB
1,8732,064
1,8482,089
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barao
legend Escovedo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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