UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sung Jung vs Hominick

1,905

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sung Jung

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Sung Jung
WILL WIN

1,766

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chan Sung Jung
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Hominick
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Sung Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hominick’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chan
Sung Jung
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Sung Jung Hominick
Significant Strikes68
Sung Jung's good striking offense may be a factor against Hominick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Good
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sung Jung's average takedown offense is matched by Hominick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sung Jung has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hominick on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sung Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hominick
In 10:38, how much damage will he do? Hominick Sung Jung
Significant Strikes45
Hominick's average striking offense is matched by Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hominick's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:38
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hominick is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hominick is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hominick is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Hominick 8.6
Great striking by Sung Jung
74 strikes May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
6 strikes Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
30 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.1
fighter Hominick 7.0
Great takedowns by Sung Jung
4 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sung Jung 7.3
fighter Hominick 7.6
Great knockouts by Hominick
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Roop
Round 1 Sep 28, 2007 vs Greer
Round 3 Sep 30, 2005 vs Diaz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.5
fighter Hominick 7.4
Great submissions by Sung Jung
Round 4 May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Round 2 Aug 02, 2009 vs Jaggers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Hominick 7.8
Fast finishes by Sung Jung
967 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
7 seconds Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
599 seconds Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2011UFC 140
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 KO
1,7721,964
1,8471,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sung Jung
legend Hominick
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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