UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sung Jung vs Aldo

1,905

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
91% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Slightly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Chan Sung Jung
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sung Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? Aldo Sung Jung
Significant Strikes51
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sung Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chan
Sung Jung
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? Sung Jung Aldo
Significant Strikes37
Sung Jung's good striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sung Jung's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sung Jung has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Sung Jung 8.1
Great takedowns by Sung Jung
4 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Sung Jung 7.3
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Sung Jung 8.5
Great submissions by Sung Jung
Round 4 May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Round 2 Aug 02, 2009 vs Jaggers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 3, 2013UFC 163
team
VS
team
XR4 KO
XR2 KO
1,9172,271
1,9052,282
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Sung Jung
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 3 comments.
All fixed up. Thanks again.
Yeah, looks like a problem with our data. I'll get this fixed up. Thanks for pointing it out!
Why under knockouts does it say Aldo ko'd Florian? It was a UD.
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