UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sung Jung vs Garcia

1,905

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sung Jung

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Sung Jung
WILL WIN

1,756

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chan Sung Jung
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 31 years vs 39 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Leonard Garcia
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Sung Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chan
Sung Jung
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Sung Jung Garcia
Significant Strikes72
Sung Jung's good striking offense may be a factor against Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Good
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sung Jung's average takedown offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sung Jung has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sung Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Leonard
Garcia
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Garcia Sung Jung
Significant Strikes38
Garcia's average striking offense is matched by Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Garcia's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Garcia is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garcia is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Garcia 8.2
Great striking by Sung Jung
74 strikes May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
6 strikes Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
30 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.1
fighter Garcia 7.2
Great takedowns by Sung Jung
4 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sung Jung 7.3
fighter Garcia 7.5
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 06, 2013 vs Aguilar
Round 1 Nov 05, 2008 vs Pulver
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Takaya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.5
fighter Garcia 7.3
Great submissions by Sung Jung
Round 4 May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Round 2 Aug 02, 2009 vs Jaggers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Garcia 7.8
Fast finishes by Sung Jung
967 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
7 seconds Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
599 seconds Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 26, 2011UFC Fight Night 24
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XDEC
1,7011,856
1,7721,785
April 24, 2010WEC 48
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,8101,806
1,7601,857
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sung Jung
legend Garcia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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