UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sung Jung vs Poirier

1,905

CageRank

WINNER
Poirier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Poirier
WILL WIN

2,052

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Chan Sung Jung
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sung Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Poirier Sung Jung
Significant Strikes57
Poirier's excellent striking offense will dominate Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sung Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chan
Sung Jung
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Sung Jung Poirier
Significant Strikes55
Sung Jung's good striking offense may be a factor against Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sung Jung's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sung Jung has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Poirier 9.1
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Poirier 8.0
fighter Sung Jung 8.1
Great takedowns by Sung Jung
4 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Poirier 8.1
fighter Sung Jung 7.3
Great knockouts by Poirier
Round 1 Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
Round 1 Nov 11, 2010 vs Micklewright
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Gauthier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Poirier 7.9
fighter Sung Jung 8.5
Great submissions by Sung Jung
Round 4 May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Round 2 Aug 02, 2009 vs Jaggers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Poirier 8.7
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
Fast finishes by Poirier
294 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
255 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Brookins
534 seconds Jun 26, 2009 vs Jolly
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 3
team
VS
team
R4 SUBX
XDEC
1,8471,990
1,9171,920
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Poirier
legend Sung Jung
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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