UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sung Jung vs Holloway

1,905

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sung Jung

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Sung Jung
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chan Sung Jung
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Max Holloway
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 26 years vs 31 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sung Jung on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chan
Sung Jung
In 11:04, how much damage will he do? Sung Jung Holloway
Significant Strikes59
Sung Jung's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:04
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sung Jung's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sung Jung has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sung Jung is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sung Jung’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 11:04, how much damage will he do? Holloway Sung Jung
Significant Strikes47
Holloway's average striking offense is matched by Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sung Jung's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:04
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Sung Jung
74 strikes May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
6 strikes Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
30 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.1
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Sung Jung
4 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sung Jung 7.3
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Holloway
Round 2 Jan 04, 2014 vs Chope
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Kamaka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sung Jung 8.5
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Sung Jung
Round 4 May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Round 2 Aug 02, 2009 vs Jaggers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sung Jung 8.6
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Sung Jung
967 seconds May 15, 2012 vs Poirier
7 seconds Dec 10, 2011 vs Hominick
599 seconds Mar 26, 2011 vs Garcia
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sung Jung
legend Holloway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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