UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Corbbrey vs Diaz

1,691

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
93% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.8 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Muhsin Corbbrey
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Corbbrey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 10:07, how much damage will he do? Diaz Corbbrey
Significant Strikes76
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Corbbrey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Corbbrey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:07
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Corbbrey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Muhsin
Corbbrey
In 10:07, how much damage will he do? Corbbrey Diaz
Significant Strikes45
Corbbrey's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Corbbrey's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Corbbrey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Corbbrey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Corbbrey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Corbbrey 8.2
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Corbbrey 7.0
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Corbbrey 8.1
Great submissions by Corbbrey
Round 1 Oct 26, 2007 vs McMasters
Round 1 Jun 23, 2001 vs Hackney
Round 2 Apr 07, 2001 vs McHargue

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Corbbrey 8.2
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR1 KO
1,7471,920
1,7201,947
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Corbbrey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus