UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Dias vs Kinnison

1,613

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Dias

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Dias
WILL WIN

1,569

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael Dias
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Steve Kinnison
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.3 vs 6.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Dias on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kinnison’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
Dias
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dias is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dias has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Dias is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kinnison on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dias’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Kinnison
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kinnison is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kinnison is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kinnison is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dias 6.1
fighter Kinnison 6.3
Great knockouts by Kinnison
Round 2 Mar 24, 2006 vs Clodfelter
Round 1 Jul 11, 2003 vs Cardella
Round 1 May 17, 2002 vs Voisin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dias 7.6
fighter Kinnison 7.6
Great submissions by Kinnison
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Williams
Round 3 Mar 10, 2007 vs Combs
Round 3 Dec 16, 2006 vs Bixler

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dias 7.4
fighter Kinnison 7.4
Fast finishes by Dias
123 seconds Feb 29, 2008 vs Defranco
15 seconds May 06, 2006 vs Wilson
75 seconds Oct 30, 2004 vs Medlin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 30, 2005AFC 13
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,6241,623
1,6741,573
May 14, 2005FCC 19
team
VS
team
XR0 DEC
DECX
1,6841,614
1,6241,674
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dias
legend Kinnison
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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