UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kikuchi vs Morgan

1,847

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Kikuchi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Kikuchi
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Akira Kikuchi
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.2 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 166 lbs vs 164 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 36 years vs 40 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Kikuchi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Akira
Kikuchi
In 6:18, how much damage will he do? Kikuchi Morgan
Significant Strikes37
Kikuchi's average striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:18
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kikuchi's good takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:18
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kikuchi has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kikuchi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kikuchi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kikuchi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 6:18, how much damage will he do? Morgan Kikuchi
Significant Strikes19
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Kikuchi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:18
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Morgan's average takedown offense is matched by Kikuchi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kikuchi 7.9
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Kikuchi
Round 2 Mar 17, 2007 vs Rollins
Round 1 Jul 06, 2005 vs Inoue
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Brudvik

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kikuchi 7.5
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kikuchi 8.3
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Kikuchi
394 seconds Mar 17, 2007 vs Rollins
101 seconds Jul 06, 2005 vs Inoue
171 seconds Mar 04, 2004 vs Morgan
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,6961,754
1,7541,695
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kikuchi
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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