UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ferguson vs Edwards

1,986

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,807

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 33 years vs 41 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Yves Edwards
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edwards’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 12:01, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Edwards
Significant Strikes61
Ferguson's good striking offense may be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:01
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:01
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Edwards on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yves
Edwards
In 12:01, how much damage will he do? Edwards Ferguson
Significant Strikes62
Edwards's good striking offense may be a factor against Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:01
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edwards's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:01
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edwards is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edwards is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edwards is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ferguson 8.6
fighter Edwards 8.7
Great striking by Edwards
8 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
33 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
4 strikes May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ferguson 8.1
fighter Edwards 7.2
Great takedowns by Ferguson
1 takedown Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
2 takedowns Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Edwards 8.0
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Edwards 7.4
Great submissions by Edwards
Round 2 Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
Round 2 Dec 15, 2007 vs Martinez
Round 1 May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Edwards 8.1
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 3, 2011TUF 14 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,8851,982
1,9481,918
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Edwards
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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