UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Wineland vs Dodson

1,943

CageRank

WINNER
Dodson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Dodson
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for John Dodson
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Eddie Wineland
A lot taller 173 cm vs 160 cm Around 10% taller
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Dodson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wineland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Dodson
In 12:15, how much damage will he do? Dodson Wineland
Significant Strikes70
Dodson's good striking offense may be a factor against Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:15
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dodson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:15
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dodson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Dodson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dodson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Wineland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dodson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Wineland
In 12:15, how much damage will he do? Wineland Dodson
Significant Strikes58
Wineland's average striking offense is matched by Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wineland's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dodson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:15
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wineland has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wineland is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wineland is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dodson 8.7
fighter Wineland 8.6
Great striking by Dodson
28 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
33 strikes Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
80 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Elliott

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dodson 7.8
fighter Wineland 7.7
Great takedowns by Dodson
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Elliott

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dodson 8.6
fighter Wineland 8.5
Great knockouts by Dodson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Montague
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs da Silva
Round 1 Dec 03, 2011 vs Dillashaw

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dodson 6.3
fighter Wineland 6.7
Great submissions by Wineland
Round 1 Nov 22, 2008 vs Choate
Round 1 Nov 19, 2005 vs Hosman
Round 1 Apr 12, 2003 vs Cleverly

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dodson 7.9
fighter Wineland 8.0
Fast finishes by Wineland
556 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Jabouin
550 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Jorgensen
156 seconds May 05, 2006 vs Banuelos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dodson
legend Wineland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus