UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Wineland vs Faber

1,943

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Eddie Wineland
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wineland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Faber Wineland
Significant Strikes54
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Wineland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Wineland
In 9:46, how much damage will he do? Wineland Faber
Significant Strikes34
Wineland's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:46
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wineland's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:46
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wineland has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wineland is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wineland is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Wineland 8.6
Great striking by Wineland
54 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Jabouin
90 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Pickett
61 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Wineland 7.7
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Wineland 8.5
Great knockouts by Wineland
Round 2 Jan 25, 2014 vs Jabouin
Round 2 Jun 08, 2012 vs Jorgensen
Round 1 May 05, 2006 vs Banuelos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Wineland 6.7
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Wineland 8.0
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 19, 2011UFC 128
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,9402,048
1,9052,083
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Wineland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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