UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Wineland vs Barao

1,943

CageRank

WINNER
Barao

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Barao
WILL WIN

2,194

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 179 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Eddie Wineland
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wineland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Barao Wineland
Significant Strikes59
Barao's good striking offense may be a factor against Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wineland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barao is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Wineland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Wineland
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Wineland Barao
Significant Strikes40
Wineland's average striking offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wineland's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wineland has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wineland is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wineland is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barao 8.9
fighter Wineland 8.6
Great striking by Barao
36 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
85 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Faber
104 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barao 8.0
fighter Wineland 7.7
Great takedowns by Barao
4 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
6 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Escovedo
1 takedown Jun 20, 2010 vs Leone

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barao 7.7
fighter Wineland 8.5
Great knockouts by Wineland
Round 2 Jan 25, 2014 vs Jabouin
Round 2 Jun 08, 2012 vs Jorgensen
Round 1 May 05, 2006 vs Banuelos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barao 8.5
fighter Wineland 6.7
Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Cariaso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barao 8.6
fighter Wineland 8.0
Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
1137 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
249 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
1,9922,221
1,9712,242
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barao
legend Wineland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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