UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Riley vs Claveau

1,755

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Riley

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Riley
WILL WIN

1,663

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Aaron Riley
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Steve Claveau
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Riley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Claveau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aaron
Riley
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Riley is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Riley is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Riley has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Claveau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Riley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Claveau
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Claveau is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Claveau has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Claveau is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Riley 6.5
fighter Claveau 6.3
Great knockouts by Riley
Round 1 Aug 28, 2004 vs Alarcao
Round 1 Jul 14, 2000 vs Stregles
Round 1 Mar 17, 2000 vs Bennett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Riley 6.7
fighter Claveau 8.2
Great submissions by Claveau
Round 3 Nov 08, 2008 vs MacKay
Round 1 Jun 21, 2008 vs Manderson
Round 1 Feb 09, 2007 vs St. Louis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Riley 6.8
fighter Claveau 7.8
Fast finishes by Claveau
742 seconds Nov 08, 2008 vs MacKay
79 seconds Jun 21, 2008 vs Manderson
182 seconds Feb 09, 2007 vs St. Louis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 13, 2008XMMA 5
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,7601,673
1,7981,635
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Riley
legend Claveau
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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