UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Bisping

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Condit
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? Condit Bisping
Significant Strikes56
Condit's good striking offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? Bisping Condit
Significant Strikes68
Bisping's excellent striking offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Bisping's average takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Bisping 9.5
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Bisping 8.3
Great takedowns by Bisping
3 takedowns Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
3 takedowns Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang
2 takedowns Jun 07, 2008 vs Day

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Bisping 8.5
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Bisping 6.8
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Bisping 8.3
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Bisping
Read More
Condit vs Cerrone
Fantasy Cage Match
Bisping vs Machida
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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