UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs dos Anjos

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Condit
Significant Strikes45
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
dos Anjos's good takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit dos Anjos
Significant Strikes65
Condit's good striking offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Condit
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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