UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Belfort

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
63% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 8:33, how much damage will he do? Belfort Condit
Significant Strikes39
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Belfort's below average takedown offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 8:33, how much damage will he do? Condit Belfort
Significant Strikes23
Condit's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:33
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by Belfort
3 takedowns Sep 22, 2007 vs Zikic
3 takedowns May 27, 2001 vs Herring
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2000 vs Yvel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Condit
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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