UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs St. Pierre

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.5 Around 35% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 7.5 Around 35% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Carlos Condit
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Condit
Significant Strikes71
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit St. Pierre
Significant Strikes43
Condit's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 17, 2012UFC 154
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XDEC
2,2252,378
2,1962,407
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Condit
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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