UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Kampmann

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Condit
WILL WIN

2,066

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 182 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Martin Kampmann
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kampmann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Condit Kampmann
Significant Strikes60
Condit's good striking offense may be a factor against Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kampmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kampmann on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Martin
Kampmann
In 10:52, how much damage will he do? Kampmann Condit
Significant Strikes33
Kampmann's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Kampmann's average takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kampmann is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kampmann has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kampmann is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Kampmann 8.5
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Kampmann 8.1
Great takedowns by Kampmann
1 takedown Mar 03, 2012 vs Alves
3 takedowns Nov 19, 2011 vs Story
5 takedowns Apr 01, 2009 vs Condit

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Kampmann 7.9
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Kampmann 8.3
Great submissions by Kampmann
Round 3 Mar 03, 2012 vs Alves
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Rivera
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Wallace

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Kampmann 8.6
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
R1 KOX
2,1472,111
2,1922,066
April 1, 2009UFC Fight Night 18
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
2,0701,997
2,0102,058
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Kampmann
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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