UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Hendricks

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Condit
Significant Strikes69
Hendricks's excellent striking offense is matched by Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit Hendricks
Significant Strikes64
Condit's good striking offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 16, 2013UFC 158
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
2,1962,204
2,1472,253
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Condit
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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