UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Hyun Kim

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Hyun Kim

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Hyun Kim
WILL WIN

2,147

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dong Hyun Kim
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Hyun Kim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dong
Hyun Kim
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hyun Kim Condit
Significant Strikes40
Hyun Kim's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Hyun Kim's good takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hyun Kim is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hyun Kim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit Hyun Kim
Significant Strikes62
Condit's good striking offense is matched by Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.9
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by Hyun Kim
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 6.5
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hyun Kim 7.6
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 2, 2011UFC 132
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1342,000
2,1661,969
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hyun Kim
legend Condit
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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