UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Healy

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Condit
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Pat Healy
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Healy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Condit Healy
Significant Strikes79
Condit's good striking offense may be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Healy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pat
Healy
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Healy Condit
Significant Strikes42
Healy's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Healy's good takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Healy is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Healy is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Healy is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Healy 8.4
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Healy 8.8
Great takedowns by Healy
4 takedowns Jul 14, 2012 vs Hirota
3 takedowns Aug 12, 2011 vs Wisely
1 takedown Feb 18, 2011 vs Beerbohm

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Healy 6.6
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Healy 7.8
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Healy 7.4
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R2 KOX
1,8641,765
1,8001,829
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Healy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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