UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Lawler

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? Lawler Condit
Significant Strikes45
Lawler's good striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? Condit Lawler
Significant Strikes56
Condit's good striking offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Condit 8.9
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter Condit 7.5
Great takedowns by Condit
1 takedown Sep 16, 2009 vs Ellenberger
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2008 vs Miura
1 takedown Jan 20, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Condit 8.8
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Condit 7.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Condit 8.7
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 2, 2016UFC 195
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Condit
Read More
Condit vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Lawler vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 3 comments.
Though I have seen the real fight the judges were douchebags. Carlos will win.
roses are red, violets are blue, this is intense, a great fight too. I say what I want to say, the king speaks how the king wants to speaks, when the king wants to speak, where the king wants to speak, and when the king, jk, lmfao
it is close to two hours before the fight, lawler will win boys and girls.
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