UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Maia

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Condit
WILL WIN

2,102

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 7.5 More than 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 12:51, how much damage will he do? Condit Maia
Significant Strikes56
Condit's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:51
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:51
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 12:51, how much damage will he do? Maia Condit
Significant Strikes33
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:51
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:51
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2016UFC on Fox 21
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Maia
Read More
Condit vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Maia vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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