UFC fight predictions and analysis
Upcoming:
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Trigg

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Condit
WILL WIN

1,884

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly younger 33 years vs 45 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Frank Trigg
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 180 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Trigg’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Condit Trigg
Significant Strikes53
Condit's good striking offense may be a factor against Trigg's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Condit's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Trigg's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Trigg on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Trigg
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Trigg Condit
Significant Strikes28
Trigg's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Trigg's average takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trigg is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Trigg is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Trigg is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Trigg 8.4
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Trigg 8.3
Great takedowns by Trigg
2 takedowns Oct 03, 2008 vs Vitale
5 takedowns Feb 24, 2007 vs Misaki
1 takedown Oct 22, 2004 vs Verissimo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Trigg 8.0
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Trigg 7.1
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Trigg 8.1
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2006ROTR 9
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,8701,886
1,9221,834
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Trigg
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus