UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Condit vs Magny

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Condit

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
80% chance Condit
WILL WIN

1,887

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carlos Condit
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 192 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Condit on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlos
Condit
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? Condit Magny
Significant Strikes51
Condit's good striking offense may be a factor against Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Condit's below average takedown offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Condit has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Condit is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Condit’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 9:36, how much damage will he do? Magny Condit
Significant Strikes26
Magny's average striking offense won't be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:36
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Magny's average takedown offense may be a factor against Condit's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Condit 8.9
fighter Magny 8.4
Great striking by Condit
100 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
151 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Diaz
26 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Condit 7.5
fighter Magny 8.5
Great takedowns by Magny
4 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Condit 8.8
fighter Magny 7.4
Great knockouts by Condit
Round 4 Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Condit 7.9
fighter Magny 6.9
Great submissions by Condit
Round 1 Feb 13, 2008 vs Prater
Round 1 Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Round 1 Apr 21, 2006 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Condit 8.7
fighter Magny 7.1
Fast finishes by Condit
954 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Kampmann
267 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Hardy
141 seconds Aug 05, 2007 vs Larson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 30, 2017UFC 219
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Condit
legend Magny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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