UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - French vs MacDonald

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly younger 28 years vs 37 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
A lot taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Clay French
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against French’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 9:24, how much damage will he do? MacDonald French
Significant Strikes55
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate French's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against French's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:24
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
French on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
French
In 9:24, how much damage will he do? French MacDonald
Significant Strikes31
French's average striking offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:24
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
French's average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
French is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
French is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
French is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter MacDonald 9.1
fighter French 8.4
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter MacDonald 8.8
fighter French 8.4
Great takedowns by MacDonald
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
7 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Diaz
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter French 6.6
Great knockouts by MacDonald
Round 2 Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
Round 1 Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
Round 2 Nov 28, 2008 vs French

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter French 7.7
Great submissions by French
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Wilson
Round 2 Jun 14, 2008 vs Massouh
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Martinez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter French 7.8
Fast finishes by MacDonald
440 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
234 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
267 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 28, 2008KOTC - Grinder
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 SUBX
1,9091,738
1,8361,811
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend French
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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