UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Evans

2,064

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 37 years vs 41 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evans Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes64
Evans's good striking offense is matched by Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Evans's good takedown offense is matched by Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Evans
Significant Strikes50
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.5
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2013UFC 156
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
2,0272,179
2,0982,109
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Rogerio Nogueira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus