UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Matyushenko

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,882

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 41 years vs 46 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Vladimir Matyushenko
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matyushenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 11:50, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Matyushenko
Significant Strikes61
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:50
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:50
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Matyushenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vladimir
Matyushenko
In 11:50, how much damage will he do? Matyushenko Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes38
Matyushenko's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:50
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Matyushenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great striking by Rogerio Nogueira
40 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Evans
24 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
27 strikes Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.5
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great takedowns by Matyushenko
2 takedowns Nov 13, 2010 vs Ferreira
4 takedowns Sep 19, 2009 vs Pokrajac
3 takedowns Jun 29, 2001 vs Kondo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Matyushenko 7.8
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Matyushenko 6.8
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Matyushenko 8.0
Fast finishes by Rogerio Nogueira
566 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
433 seconds Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem
485 seconds Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XDEC
1,9982,016
2,0511,963
August 8, 2002UFO - Legend
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,6711,842
1,6441,870
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Matyushenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus