UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Silva

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,976

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.0 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 7.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Wanderlei Silva
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Silva
Significant Strikes74
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wanderlei
Silva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Silva Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes76
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Silva 9.2
Great striking by Silva
42 strikes Feb 20, 2010 vs Bisping
56 strikes Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
25 strikes Mar 25, 2001 vs Sakuraba

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.5
fighter Silva 7.1
Great takedowns by Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Brilz
1 takedown Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem
4 takedowns Feb 20, 2005 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Silva 8.8
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2013 vs Stann
Round 2 Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
Round 1 Nov 09, 2003 vs Jackson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Silva 6.0
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Silva 8.4
Fast finishes by Silva
36 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Jardine
506 seconds Oct 31, 2004 vs Jackson
98 seconds Mar 25, 2001 vs Sakuraba
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Silva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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