UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Cane

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Luiz Cane
Younger 36 years vs 41 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cane’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 10:37, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Cane
Significant Strikes67
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Cane's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:37
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cane's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:37
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cane on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luiz
Cane
In 10:37, how much damage will he do? Cane Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes47
Cane's excellent striking offense will dominate Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cane's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cane has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cane is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cane is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Cane 8.9
Great striking by Cane
29 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Marshall
87 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Cantwell
15 strikes Jun 07, 2008 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Cane 8.5
Great knockouts by Cane
Round 1 Sep 20, 2013 vs Wallace
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Marshall
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Lambert

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Cane 6.5
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Cane 8.4
Fast finishes by Cane
236 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Wallace
135 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Marshall
127 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Lambert
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 21, 2009UFC 106
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,0641,910
2,0931,881
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Cane
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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