UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Filipovic

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
82% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 6.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Mirko Filipovic
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 233 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Filipovic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 13:21, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Filipovic
Significant Strikes56
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense is matched by Filipovic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:21
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Filipovic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:21
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Filipovic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mirko
Filipovic
In 13:21, how much damage will he do? Filipovic Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes43
Filipovic's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:21
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Filipovic's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:21
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Filipovic is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Filipovic is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Filipovic is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Filipovic 8.4
Great striking by Rogerio Nogueira
40 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Evans
24 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
27 strikes Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.5
fighter Filipovic 6.5
Great takedowns by Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Brilz
1 takedown Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem
4 takedowns Feb 20, 2005 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Filipovic 7.7
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Filipovic 7.3
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Filipovic 8.0
Fast finishes by Rogerio Nogueira
566 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
433 seconds Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem
485 seconds Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Filipovic
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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