UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Staring

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,849

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Dion Staring
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Slightly younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Staring’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Staring
Significant Strikes67
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Staring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Staring's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Staring on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dion
Staring
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Staring Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes34
Staring's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Staring's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Staring is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Staring is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Staring is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Staring 8.2
Great striking by Rogerio Nogueira
40 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Evans
24 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
27 strikes Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Staring 7.5
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Staring 7.6
Great submissions by Staring
Round 1 May 28, 2011 vs Savochka
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Baziak
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Karaoglu

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Staring 8.3
Fast finishes by Staring
462 seconds Oct 25, 2013 vs Delija
155 seconds May 28, 2011 vs Savochka
134 seconds Jun 12, 2010 vs Baziak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R1 KOX
2,0511,729
2,0641,715
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Staring
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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