UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Alvey

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,987

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Sam Alvey
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 32 years vs 42 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alvey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Alvey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvey has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvey is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvey is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Alvey 9.1
Great knockouts by Alvey
Round 5 Oct 04, 2013 vs South
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs O'Malley
Round 4 Aug 01, 2009 vs Honneger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Alvey 6.2
Great submissions by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 3 May 09, 2009 vs Staring
Round 1 Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Round 1 Mar 09, 2002 vs Theobald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Alvey 7.9
Fast finishes by Rogerio Nogueira
566 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
433 seconds Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem
485 seconds Apr 23, 2005 vs Henderson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Alvey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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